Weekend Gambler - Oct. 10-11
College football been beddy beddy good to me. As have ND and GB (combined 5-0). Remember the Hendies below.
Saturday, Rocktober 10
Auburn @ Arkansas +3
Classic trap game for freshly ranked Auburn.
Oregon @ UCLA +3.5
Ditto for Oregon
Florida -7 @ LSU
Expect Florida to be up and intense for the game. They are almost a professional team and should beat the shit out of LSU.
Sunday, Roctober 11
Minnesota -10 @ St. Louis
For anybody that has watched either team, this should be self explanatory
Oakland +16 @ New York Giants
Am I on drugs? No. 16 points is a ton in the NFL, and Eli is hurt and may not play. Locking this line in now.
Cincinnati +8.5 @ Baltimore
Now, I love Baltimore, but I think Cinci is still genuinely underrated by gamblers, and this game should be a lot closer than 8.5.
Bonus Game!
Arizona -3.5 @ Washington (NCAA)
See last week's Purdue/Northwestern game. Huge letdown potential in Seattle.
Labels: Gambling
posted by Brew City Bub @ 10:56 AM
7 comments
7 Comments:
After a 2-4 week, I need to get back on the saddle. Luckily, there are 6 very easy games to choose this week. Apparently, gamblers were smoking grass. Here we go:
Minnesota (-10) over St. Louis.
You've got to be kidding me. St. Louis is absurdly bad at football. Following a 35-point loss to San Francisco, the Rams are poised for a 69-0 loss this week. If the Viqueens weren't in a state of letdown after a huge win over the Packers on Monday, I'd give them 83 points.
Pittsburgh (-10.5) over Detroit.
The Steelers need this game. Though they are 2-2, they're still an exceptional team. No letdown here. They should bury the motor city kitties.
Washington (+3.5) over Carolina.
Carolina has been statistically the worst team in football this year. Yes. Worse than the Rams. I don't care how pathetic the Redskins have been (btw gamblers are mistaking underachieving for horrible with the Redskins), the Panthers have as bad as you can imagine. They shouldn't be 3.5 point favorites. That means they have to win by more than a field goal. No.
Houston (+5.5) over Arizona.
Just a gut here. Neither is great, but 5.5 points is too much.
Indianapolis (-3.5) over Tennessee.
What am I missing here? Is it a fluke Tennessee is 0-4? Maybe. But wasn't it then also a fluke that they won, what, 13 games last year? Indy is 4-0 and good. Tennessee plays them tough and is good at covering spreads, but I'm feeling good about this.
N.Y. Jets (-1.5) over Miami.
Okay, so clearly the gamblers think that home field is worth about 19 points because all these games are unreasonably biased towards the home teams. Generally the crowd doesn't mean shit when the home team is down 49 points at halftime.
If you're looking elsewhere, check out the OSU v. UW game. I believe its a 16 point line. From what I've read, the deciding factor is Pryor. What I've seen of him, he's more hype than anything else. He's the Vick of the big ten: can run (and everyone expects it), but can't throw. The USC game really showed how limited the OSU playbook was and how conservative their offense is, despite having a 'game breaker.' Just my two cents.
PS- who have they beaten - no one.
Using the "who have they beaten?" argument for a team playing the Badgers is borderline laughable. I expect at least four fumbles from UW today.
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I will eat crow for dinner tonight.
"Which one a'ya'll wanna fuck Terrelle Pryor?" Friend from OSU said this is what he says upon entering house parites in Columbus. Yeah, there's probably far too much hype surrounding this hilarious piece of shit.
OSU's offense looked miserable. The Badgers were very much in that game but played at times as though they thought they weren't playing a top ten team (see comment above). Buckeyes covering the 14.5point spread won me $20 at work.
Also, I can't help but laugh at the Bub betting the Raiders to cover, especially because of how he thought Eli's injury would be the deciding factor. Little does he know, Eli doesn't play on the D-line or run the ball and therefore isn't an integral key to the Giants' success.
I don't see you putting your balls where your mouth is each week...
Or something like that.
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