.093 BAC? You pussy... Brewers vs. Cardinals 8/26-27
Let's hope he manages this series as well as he holds his booze. Seriously La Russa, 2 glasses of wine and a .093 BAC renders you unable to drive/walk/successfully recite the English alphabet??? Well hey, at least he didn't call the cops ch*nks.
But for reals, putting the screws to St. Louis is in this two game series would make for a huge 5.5 game lead down the home stretch. Chat with the mini bub during the games here...hopefully our sperm-eating, pinko commie of a manager doesn't screw this one up.
Labels: Drunk LaRussa
posted by bubsbrother @ 8:32 PM
19 comments
19 Comments:
Wow. Tremendous. I haven't seen the whole deal. TLR was plowed.
I expect at least one of you guys to have a answer to this question
...why the hell are the Brewers playing more away games against both the Cubs and Cardinals this year? Shouldn't the number of home/away games at least be even or will the Brewers get more home games against those teams next year?
It goes without saying that this is a huge series for the Crew. The Cardinals remain the primary competition for the wild card, not because they're better than the Phils and Mets, they're not. Although they're not too good of a team, they're about to get Carpenter and Wainwright both active together for the first time this season. Pujols is the best hitter in baseball, and the Cardinals seem to always have a knack for winning more games than they should.
If the Brewers take one out of two, they eliminate St. Louis's ability to significantly narrow the gap in head-to-head play. A 3.5 game lead is a good lead and difficult to overcome in 30 games without going head-to-head. The two teams' schedules are pretty much even from here out.
Taking both games could bury the Cards, leaving the Brewers in a position to hold of either the Phillies or Mets. A 5.5 game lead with a month left to play is very difficult to overcome (2007 examples aside). The Brewers are a better team than the Cardinals, so a big lead with not many games left to play is a death knell (not that 5.5 games is that big of a lead or 30 games is a small amount, but it's enough to feel pretty comfortable).
I don't anticipate the Brewers to take both games. Would I have if Sabathia was pitching? Perhaps. All I know is that Yost dropped the ball bigtime by keeping Sabathia out of this series (and the Mets and Phillies). Both Parra and Sheets show signs of wearing down at this point.
What I wouldn't give to have Sabathia at least start on Friday of this week rather than Sunday. If Yost doesn't do that, he should be fired, plain and simple.
The Brewers will get an extra home series against those ass pounders next year if what you're saying is indeed correct.
NL Central teams play each other 15 times in a season, 9 and 6 home/road. It switches off between seasons.
A better questions is why MLB thinks it's fair that the Cardinals play the Royals 6 times every season while the Brewers get the Twins 6 times.
Condy, good stuff.
As I posted about a week ago, CC should have not pitched on Sunday (didn't do much good then, anyway) and he and Sheets should have started against the Cards. That fuck up is going to cost the Brewers at least a game. A split would be just fine, here. You failed to discuss how devastating losing both games would be, however.
Oh, and is Wainwright going to continue to pitch well?
Yes, the Brewers play the Cards in St. Louis 9 times this year. They play the Cubs 9 times at Wrigley, but 7 times at Miller (4 game in July and 3 game in September). So that means they'll get both teams at home 9 times each next year?
Also, I guess the Cards and Royals play to encourage AL/NL rivalries between teams that are geographically close to each other, but yes, it is complete horseshit given each program's success (or lack there of) the past decade or so.
Defensive replacement: Rickie Weeks
Geez the Bub, weren't you listening???
Durham is now day to day with arthritis-related complications.
What does the win tonight do for the Brewers?
According to the three odds reports on BP, the Brewers postseason odds prior to the game were 82.368283%. Let's see what they are tomorrow morning.
The reason I didn't address losing both games is because I don't think losing both games would be nearly as devastating to the Brewers, who would still maintain a 1.5 game lead over the Cardinals and would have not had reason to start pressing and going into one of those too predictable tailspins. Please don't start calling me optimistic. The Cardinals quite frankly needed to make up ground, and the 2-game series was perfect for the Brewers to defend. The pressure was on the Cardinals, and now it's really on the Cardinals. Tomorrow is a must-win game for them. Wouldn't it be great if Sabathia was pitching that game?
I do expect Wainwright to pitch well tomorrow and from here on out. He's a very good pitcher, and finger injuries are not something that cripple a pitcher, though they do reoccur.
And watching the Cardinals this season makes me thank God the Brewers bullpen has not collapsed as it did the previous couple seasons. That's the most annoying thing to watch as a fan (besides Rickie Weeks).
I was watching.
On MLB Extra Innings.
With the Cardinals Broadcast.
Now up to 89.191153%. That's a 7% gain in one night. Thank you for playing awful baseball against the Brewers this season, Redbirds. By winning last night, and by winning in that fashion, the Brewers cut their chances of missing the playoffs by nearly 40%.
Regardless of what happens tonight, St. Louis will be in a significantly worse position than it was on Monday.
Are we getting our numbers from different places? Splitting hairs, I know, but I see the Brewers at 89.94% on the odds report.
Also, I'm a little surprised nobody has discussed Trevor Mbakwe yet.
Let's discuss other numbers...namely the Cubs.
Those cock suckers are 30-24 against teams with .500 records or better. The rest of the season they only play 4 games against sub .500 teams (another against the Pirates and 3 against Cinci.)
The Brewers are 29-30 against .500 or better teams. The rest of the season they play 16 games against teams below .500 (two series against the Pirates and Reds and San Diego 4 times at home).
Thus, with some love from the Cards and the NL East and decent play against the Cubs, the Brewer's chances of winning the division are seemingly higher than the projected 6%. Yeah, some stars would need to align, but their chances at the division are more like 15-20% all things considered.
Last night's fuckstomping of the Cards was a nice moral victory...that and the Brewers dragged 72 pitches out of a terrible bullpen. Wainwright is going to have to be CG good tonight if the Cards want to win this one...
There are 3 different odds reports. They all have positives and neagives. I looked at all 3 reports and averaged them to come up with the above percentage.
Of course, I don't think the Brewers actually have an 89% chance of making the playoffs. While the statistics are helpful and fun, they don't take into account specific injuries and the craziness of september baseball. I'd put the Brewers actual odds somewhere between 75-80%. This is mostly due to the return of Carpenter and Wainwright to the Cardinals and the possibility of collapse by the Brewers. The way I look at it, the Brewers need to play .500 ball from here on out to make the playoffs. What are the chances of that? 75%, IMO. That's still good.
I'm assuming Trevor Mbakwe left MU solely for academic reasons. What bugs me is not that he's leaving, but that Tom Crean recruited a player from Minnesota. Let's hope MU never signs another player from Minnesota. I'm serious.
Mbakwe was very much needed for the 2008-09 team. MU will have easily the worst front court in the Big East (they probably would have already), and probably the worst of the top 200 teams in the nation. This season quite likely will again result in MU being unable to contend for the Big East championship or make a move in the NCAA Tournament. It's too bad because there is so much talent at guard. But there's just no way to stop teams down low with the lack of a single player over 6'6" with NCAA level talent. Would Mbakwe have changed that? Probably not. He's extremely undersized playing center and even power forward. He was a good rebounder but young, inexperienced and probably below average offensively and defensively but for the rebounding.
The good news is that MU has an additional scholarship available for 2009 and that at least there appears to be some concern over academics (there shouldn't be but the NCAA requires it). Again, I'm assuming Mbakwe left for academic reasons. The bad news...there is now a chance, albeit remote, that a white guy could fill in the void for 2009. Yuck. This is the mess Tom Crean got MU into. Advice to Tommy, recruit a big man at IU.
BUB, what kind of damage do you think Buzz Zoolander does to the MU frontcourt of Dwight Burke, 2 juco 6'7" skinny guys, Patrick Hazel, and a gumpy 6'10" freshman who no other school wanted?
...or Parra is going to have to be bad. There's a very good chance of that.
The only reason the Brewers have any chance to win the division is because they play the cubs 6 times. The Cubs have a +189 point differential, easily the best in the majors. The Brewers? A very respectable +74. Nowhere near the cubs. Yes, the cubs have had an easier schedule, but they've powerfucked teams. Rich Harden is not hurt yet, and the cubs don't have any reason to fall apart. The addition of a healthy Harden makes the cubs the best team in baseball. Yeah, it's the cubs and they choke, but this isn't even close right now.
The cubs are playing above .500 against even good teams. Should that continue, the cubs could be expected to go 17-13 or so from here on out, considering the difficult schedule. That would mean the Brewers would have to go at least 22-8. Unheard of? No. Probable? Not at all. The Brewers have a chance, but they have to win at least 4 of the remaining 6 games with the cubs and play extremely well outside of those series. Remember the Brewers recently got absolutely destroyed by the cubs. I'd give the Brewers optimistically an 8% chance of winning the division.
Condy, just give up that all that lawyer bullshit...
The Cardinals play a slightly tougher schedule than the Brewers the rest of the way...a win tonight and that 5.5 game lead with 25 games left to play would pretty much do them in. That being said, they've got the bats and the starting pitching to keep the Crew on their toes.
Back to the Cubs, let's not forget that big Z is losing his shit lately...dude gave up 6 ER to that juggernaut of a Pirates offense last night. They're obviously the best team in baseball and will likely finish the season as such, but their overall numbers right now are as high as they're gonna get.
What's interesting are those Cubs/Brewers tickets that we have for the end of September. We could see some sweet exhibition games between two teams who are in the playoffs and can't improve their position any or we could see actual competition for the division...both of those would be exciting.
What would suck would be to have to win a game or two against the Cubs in that series to clinch the wild card or to be completely out of it and watch the Cubs parade down I-94 on their way to the WS.
Edit: When I say give up all that lawyer bullshit I mean you're obviously better at analyzing sports. With Jay Mariotti's resignation or whatever the fuck they're calling it, I'm starting to think we might start to see more intelligent persons talking sports on TV...you should jump on that bus before it's too late.
The odds report (especially the PECOTA version) doesn't take into account the fact that 100% of the Brewers' remaining games will be played with CC Sabathia on roster. That should negate the majority of the impact of wainwright/carpenter and September callups. I do, however, agree with your assessment of the Brewers' chances of winning the division.
As for Buzz Boxoutington, I have to admit, he's absolutely going to feast on Marquette this year. The 5-guard tempo will eventually wear him down, but it won't stop him from scoring like mini-Ditka against a hurricane.
Okay, Somebody needs to step up with a new post.
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