A perfect push last weekend gives me renewed gambling spirits. I present to you my selections for the 9/30-10/1 weekend.
Purdue @ Notre Dame (-14)
Purdue . . . has played nobody. And they've given up a lot of points to nobody. This is the first of many breathers on Notre Dame's schedule. I'm a little worried they're going to be worn out from last week, but Purdue's defense is so bad that 28 shouldn't be a stretch.
Illinois (+26.5) @ Michigan St.
Illinois is a miserable football team, but I envision Michigan state being in disarray after last week's collapse. 26.5 is an ASSLOAD of points for a team to be giving up a 16 point lead with fewer than 8 minutes left last week. This line is so big that it scares me that the public knows something I don't. Don't count on it, I'm too smart for that.
Houston @ Miami (-17)
Houston is undefeated for all the same reasons as Purdue. Miami is playing uninspired football but has the potential of a top tier team. I'd say there's a 60% chance of miami winning by more than 17, which is good enough for me against the spread.
Sunday, Rocktober 1
Green Bay (+11) @ Philly
Green Bay has shown signs of offensive life the past two weeks. Keep in mind Detroit held Seattle to 9 points in week one. Philly should win, but not by 11.
Cleveland (-3) @ Oakland
The raiders are terrible. The Browns aren't much better, but the Raiders are miserable.
New England (+6) @ Cincinnati
Off field distractions for the Bengals this week, expect New England to keep it close.